Supercomputer’s Scotland Euros prediction as chances of getting out group rated

SCOTLAND fans everywhere cannot wait to find out how their heroes get on at Euro 2024 in Germany this summer.

And one algorithm has offered up a prediction as to how the tournament will unfold.

Bookmakers Oddspedia have run 1,000 simulations on their supercomputer to find out the most likely outcome of the summer‘s action.

And the results don’t make for pretty reading for the Tartan Army.

The algorithm reckons that Steve Clarke‘s men have a 45.4% chance of being the first ever Scotland team to progress out of the groups at a major tournament.

Now, having almost a 50/50 chance at getting through might not sound too bad to some, especially with the injury worries facing Clarke.

However, this means that the supercomputer thinks that 21 teams are more likely to qualify, including Germany, Switzerland and Hungary, the three teams Scotland will face in Group A.

Interestingly, the results are more positive for Scotland when it comes to potential winners of the tournament.

Of the 1,000 simulations computed, only 15 teams were predicted to win the Euros more often than Scotland’s 12 times (a 1.2% chance of glory).

Hungary are only predicted to have a 0.3% chance of victory, perhaps meaning that if Scotland can get the better of their group opponents and progress, their chances will only get better.

France are rated as the most likely outfit to lift the trophy at 27.8%, with England narrowly behind at 23.8%.

The Three Lions are also rated as the most likely team to lose the final at 18.6%, in what would be a repeat of their defeat in the Euro 2020 showpiece.

Hosts Germany, Scotland’s opponents in the opening match, are listed as third most likely to win with a probability of 7%.

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