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What’s happening in Syria? The key developments as Assad flees to Russia

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What’s happening in Syria? The key developments as Assad flees to Russia

The collapse of President Bashar al-Assad’s regime has opened Syria to an uncertain future following 13 years of civil war and decades of his family’s brutal rule.

Victory by rebel groups – spearheaded by Hayat al-Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a former al-Qaeda affiliate – marked one of the biggest turning points for the Middle East in generations.

International governments have welcomed the demise of Assad, who has fled to Russia to seek asylum from Vladimir Putin. However, the country now faces a period of risk and uncertainty, if only because HTS is still designated as a terrorist group by the UK, US and the United Nations.

The developments are also a significant blow to Iran, which has supported the Assad regime and was a key ally in Iran’s attempts to seek ever-increasing strength and influence in the region.

Read the key updates from our media partners below. And click to skip ahead

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Assad prisoner describes moment freed by rebels

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Ousted Assad ‘granted asylum’ in Moscow

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Analysis: Collapse of Syria is blow to Iran

The US military said it carried out dozens of precision strikes against ISIS targets in central Syria on Sunday.

US Central Command, which oversees Middle East operations, said it struck ISIS leaders, operatives, and camps to prevent the terrorist group from rebuilding in central Syria amid the chaos.

A broken portrait of the late Syrian President Hafez Assad lies on the floor as people search for belongings in the ransacked private residence of Syrian President Bashar Assad in the Malkeh district of Damascus, Syria, on Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP Photo/Hussein Malla)

A broken portrait lies on the floor as people search for belongings in the ransacked private residence of Bashar al-Assad. (AP)

Bashar Barhoum woke in his dungeon prison cell in Damascus at dawn Sunday, thinking it would be the last day of his life.

The 63-year-old writer was supposed to have been executed after being imprisoned for seven months. But he soon realised the men at the door weren’t from former Syrian President Bashar Assad ’s notorious security forces, ready to take him to his death. Instead, they were rebels coming to set him free.

Benjamin Netanyahu said IDF troops had captured a buffer zone in the Golan Heights on the same day a lightning rebel offensive toppled the Syrian government of Bashar al-Assad.

Mr Netanyahu said the move was to protect Israeli residents after Syrian troops abandoned positions, and after rebel fighters infiltrated the UN monitored area. It came as Israeli fighter jets began a bombardment of weapons sites in Damascus.

Russia's President Vladimir Putin (L) shakes hands with his Syrian counterpart Bashar al-Assad during a meeting in Sochi on November 20, 2017. (Photo by Mikhail KLIMENTYEV / SPUTNIK / AFP) (Photo by MIKHAIL KLIMENTYEV/SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images)Russia's President Vladimir Putin (L) shakes hands with his Syrian counterpart Bashar al-Assad during a meeting in Sochi on November 20, 2017. (Photo by Mikhail KLIMENTYEV / SPUTNIK / AFP) (Photo by MIKHAIL KLIMENTYEV/SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images)

Russian President Vladimir Putin with Bashar al-Assad during a meeting in Sochi in 2017. (Getty Images)

Syria’s ousted President Bashar al Assad has arrived in Moscow, Russian state media has confirmed.

Mr Assad and members of his family arrived in the Russian capital on Sunday, a Kremlin source told the TASS news agency. The source added: “Russia, for humanitarian reasons, has granted them asylum.”

The leader of Syria's Islamist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group that headed a lightning rebel offensive snatching Damascus from government control, Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, address a crowd at the capital's landmark Umayyad Mosque on December 8, 2024. Jolani, now using his real name Ahmed al-Sharaa, gave a speech as the crowd chanted The leader of Syria's Islamist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group that headed a lightning rebel offensive snatching Damascus from government control, Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, address a crowd at the capital's landmark Umayyad Mosque on December 8, 2024. Jolani, now using his real name Ahmed al-Sharaa, gave a speech as the crowd chanted

The leader of Syria’s Islamist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group, Abu Mohammed al-Jolani. (Getty)

One major player will almost certainly be HTS, which is led by Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, a Syrian who fought against US occupation in Iraq alongside a branch of Al Qaeda.

Jolani severed his ties with Al Qaeda in 2016 and formed a new group, which eventually became HTS in 2017. Since then, Jolani has portrayed himself as a more moderate leader to gain international legitimacy. Both the United States and the United Nations still list HTS as a terrorist organization.

Syria was an important geographical link that allowed Iran to move weapons and other supplies to Hezbollah in Lebanon. Its loss now further weakens Hezbollah, whose powerful arsenal in southern Lebanon had put Iranian influence directly on the border of its nemesis Israel.

“Iran’s deterrence thinking is really shattered by events in Gaza, by events in Lebanon and definitely by developments in Syria,” a senior diplomat from the United Arab Emirates, Anwar Gargash, said at the International Institute for Strategic Studies’ Manama Dialogue in Bahrain.

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